The value of forecasting

On Monday night, I attended the Long Now talk given by Philip Tetlock on the topic of Superforecasting. I was disappointed with the talk and thought it was missing the point. But when I said that to a friend afterwards, he asked me what I wished Tetlock had talked about. So I’m going to use […]

The Leadville experience

[This is a long post with my experience in riding the Leadville 100 mountain bike race. If you want to just look at pretty pictures instead, go here.] “You are better than you think you are, and you can do more than you think you can.” – Ken Chlouber, creator of the Leadville race series […]

My first Death Ride

As I mentioned a couple months ago, I have been training for the Death Ride, a 125 mile bike ride near Tahoe that does 5 mountain passes for a total of 15,000 vertical feet of climbing. Training has taken up most of my weekends doing long training rides, as well as “shorter” (2-4 hour) rides […]

Asynchronous Ask Me Anything

I just got back from the wonderful Up to All of Us conference. The introductory exercise was to write down three things about yourself in a notebook, and then pass the notebook around the room and have everybody write a comment or a question on the page. It was fascinating to get that feedback from […]