Be the change

“You have power over your mind — not outside events. Realize this, and you will find strength.” — Meditations by Marcus Aurelius I have been thinking about personal responsibility, and the idea of starting change with oneself. This is continuing the thinking of my recent post about updating our mental software. Some background: I started […]

The value of forecasting

On Monday night, I attended the Long Now talk given by Philip Tetlock on the topic of Superforecasting. I was disappointed with the talk and thought it was missing the point. But when I said that to a friend afterwards, he asked me what I wished Tetlock had talked about. So I’m going to use […]