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You can look at my home page for more information, but the short answer is that I'm a dilettante who likes thinking about a variety of subjects. I like to think of myself as a systems-level thinker, more concerned with the big picture than with the details. Current interests include politics, community formation, and social interface design. Plus books, of course.

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Sun, 23 Jan 2005

Trading Randy Moss
After reading this Pro Football Weekly article on possible trade scenarios for Randy Moss of the Minnesota Vikings, I wrote back to the author with one of my own. And, well, since I have a blog, I'll share it here. On the off chance it actually happens, it'd be cool to say that I called it.

My hoped-for destination for Randy Moss is the Atlanta Falcons. It works for Randy Moss, because he works best in a playground offense - "I'll go deep, and you throw it up high for me". Michael Vick, the quarterback for the Falcons, also works best in a playground offense - "I'll run around back here until somebody gets open, and then I'll launch it 70 yards through the air". (for those of you who don't watch football, Vick is the most absurdly gifted athlete in the league right now - he's faster than anybody on the field, and can throw the ball further than pretty much any other quarterback).

The Falcons desperately need a deep threat receiver. I came up with this scenario last week, but today's game against the Eagles just proved it. The Eagles were able to put 9 defenders in the box (normally it's 7), because the Falcons receivers just aren't threats - they can't get open. Now picture adding Randy Moss, the single most dangerous deep threat in the NFL. All of a sudden, you have to drop the safety back to protect against Vick flinging it 60 yards through the air to a streaking Moss in stride. Peerless Price, the current lead receiver, goes back to the #2 role that he's more comfortable in (his best year as a pro was playing opposite Eric Moulds in Buffalo), because he can often beat the #2 cornerback on a defense. The running game opens up, because the defense can't stack the box with defenders any more (this is even more significant because the Falcons already had the #1 rushing offense in the NFL this season partially due to Vick). The defense has to respect the pass _and_ the rush. And that opens up all sorts of playcalling possibilities. Play action becomes a brutal option, where Vick fakes to Dunn going into the line, the linebackers and safeties take two steps in to stop the run, then realize Vick still has the ball, and that Randy Moss has gotten behind them. Vick stops, launches it, and it's a touchdown. It would be simply devastating.

I don't think the Falcons have enough to interest the Vikings in a trade, but if I were them, I'd consider giving up a first round pick and some of their defensive line depth (maybe Chad Lavalais, a second year defensive tackle who'd be affordable for the Vikings).

I highly doubt it would happen, because, well, it'd be too much fun. A source did reveal today that the Vikings were leaning 60/40 towards trading Moss, according to, so we may get some fun trade scenarios this offseason. He'll probably end up with Baltimore, because they're even more desperate for a receiver than Atlanta. But Kyle Boller isn't nearly as exciting as Vick (although he does have the arm strength - Boller turned into a high first round draft pick when he demonstrated to scouts that he could throw a football through the goalposts from the fifty yard lines from his knees). So I'm going to hold out hope for my scenario.

posted at: 19:07 by Eric Nehrlich | path: /rants/sports | permanent link to this entry | Comment on livejournal